Emmanuel Thomas l Thursday, September 15, 2022
LAGOS, Nigeria – The presidential aspirant of Labour Party, Mr. Peter Obi has defeated that of the All Progressive Congress, APC, Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu and that of the Peoples Democratic Party, PDP, Alhaji Atiku Abubakar in the first major pre-presidential online poll.
Peter Obi won the poll, beating Tinubu and Atiku to the second and third place respectively in the online poll commissioned by Anap Foundation and conducted by NOI Polls Limited.
Anap Foundation, headed by Atedo Peterside, a member of the Social Democratic Party, SDP had in the past accurately predicted the 2011 and 2015 presidential elections, won by President Muhammadu Buhari.
In May, Anap Foundation Poll predicted accurately that the PDP will come third in the Ekiti Governorship election.
The Poll revealed a substantially close race between Mr. Peter Obi of Labour Party (LP), Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu of the All Progressives Congress (APC) and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar of the People’s Democratic Party (PDP). Running significantly behind the leading pack is Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP) who is the lone outsider i.e. a “dark horse” in the race. All other contestants polled results that are statistically insignificant.
The results showed a significant lead for Mr. Peter Obi with 21% of voters proposing to vote for him if the presidential election were to be conducted today; and 13% each proposing to vote for Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Alhaji Atiku Abubakar who are both tied in second place. Dr. Rabiu Kwankwaso was a distant fourth with 3% of voters proposing to vote for him.
Mr. Peter Obi’s 8 percentage point lead at this early stage is significant, but not sufficient to separate him completely from a leading pack of candidates scoring 21%, 13% and 13% respectively.
Undecided voters and those who prefer not to reveal their preferred candidate add up to a whopping 32% and 15% respectively. The gender split of undecided voters shows that 39% of women are undecided versus 27% of male voters.
